Center For Democracy and Governance

Pre-Election Risk Assessment for Somaliland’s 2024 Presidential Elections

The upcoming presidential and party elections in Somaliland, set for November 13, 2024, face significant risks and challenges. The Center for Democracy and Governance (CDG) conducted a thorough assessment with support from the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, focusing on political stability, security, media freedom, and inclusivity in the electoral process. The report highlights:

  • Political Landscape: While Somaliland has made strides toward a democratic, multi-party system, tensions from delayed elections and clan rivalries present risks. Most respondents perceive the political situation as unstable, with 47% concerned about potential unrest.

  • Security: Although the general security situation is stable, regions like Sool and Sanaag are identified as vulnerable to electoral violence, especially due to unresolved clan tensions.

  • Media and Freedom of Speech: Over half of respondents feel that media freedom is restricted, with concerns about censorship and harassment of journalists. Recommendations include enhancing media independence and promoting ethical journalism practices.

  • Inclusivity: Ensuring representation for women, youth, and minorities remains a priority. While 56% of citizens believe the process is inclusive, others highlight existing disparities in representation.

Recommendations include ensuring transparency in biometric voter registration, engaging international observers, implementing civic education programs, and fostering consensus among political parties. CDG emphasizes that addressing these concerns is vital to maintaining a credible, peaceful electoral process in Somaliland.

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